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House prices dipped in December as annual growth slows – Halifax

House prices dip in December as annual growth slows, says Halifax

UK house prices fell for the second consecutive month in December 2025, according to Halifax, signalling a softer end to the year for the housing market. The average property value dropped to £297,755, with annual growth slowing to 0.3%. This trend is important for landlords as it reflects ongoing affordability pressures and market conditions that may influence rental demand and property values in 2026.

Monthly and Annual Price Movements

Halifax reported a 0.6% decline in house prices during December, following a 0.1% fall in November. This brought the average UK property price down by £1,789 from the previous month, reaching its lowest level since June 2025. On an annual basis, growth slowed to 0.3% in December from 0.6% in November, indicating a cooling housing market as the year closed.

For landlords, these figures suggest a stabilising market rather than rapid growth, which may affect decisions on rent setting and investment timing. The modest price falls could also impact the capital appreciation potential of buy-to-let properties in the short term.

Market Resilience Amidst Uncertainty

Amanda Bryden, Halifax’s head of mortgages, noted that despite the subdued end to 2025, overall housing market activity remained resilient and broadly aligned with pre-pandemic averages. She attributed December’s price decline partly to uncertainty in the latter part of the year but expects this to ease as mortgage rates begin to fall following recent Base Rate cuts.

For landlords, the easing of mortgage rates and the availability of more lending options for higher loan-to-value borrowers could improve financing conditions. However, affordability pressures persist, although the house price to income ratio was at its lowest in over a decade in December, which may encourage first-time buyers and support rental demand.

Halifax anticipates a modest rise in house prices of between 1% and 3% during 2026, reflecting ongoing economic headwinds such as slowing wage inflation and flat employment rates. Landlords should consider these factors when planning rental income expectations and portfolio growth.

Regional Variations in House Price Performance

Halifax data reveals mixed regional house price trends across the UK. Northern Ireland led growth with a 7.5% annual increase, reaching an average price of £221,062. Scotland saw a 3.9% rise to £217,775, and Wales recorded 1.6% growth to £230,233.

In England, the North East experienced the fastest annual increase at 3.5%, with average prices of £181,798, followed by the North West at 2.8% growth to £245,323. Conversely, London continued to underperform, with prices falling by 1.3% over 2025 to £539,086.

These regional differences are significant for landlords considering investment locations or managing portfolios across the UK. Areas with stronger price growth may offer better capital appreciation prospects, while regions with price declines or stagnation could present opportunities for rental yield focus.

Industry Perspectives on Market Conditions

Nathan Emerson, CEO of Propertymark, highlighted that affordability pressures remain a key factor dampening the market despite improvements in mortgage rates. He emphasised that consumer caution persists due to wider economic concerns such as inflation, which directly affects affordability.

Emerson noted that while price softening may assist some buyers, especially first-time purchasers, a sustainable market recovery will depend on stable interest rates, income growth, and addressing the chronic undersupply of homes. This undersupply continues to be a critical issue influencing rental market dynamics and landlord strategies.

Karen Noye, mortgage expert at Quilter, observed that prices have largely moved sideways over the past year, with constrained supply limiting significant price corrections. She suggested that lenders may compete more aggressively for lower-risk borrowers, potentially leading to gradual mortgage rate reductions. This competitive lending environment could benefit landlords seeking remortgage or additional finance.

Amy Reynolds, head of sales at Antony Roberts estate agency, reported signs of improved market confidence following the Budget, with increased buyer activity and stronger prices for well-presented properties. This more predictable market environment may encourage landlords to review their property valuations and consider sales or acquisitions.

Tom Bill, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank, indicated that house price growth effectively stalled in 2025 due to supply increases and demand uncertainty. He expects stability in early 2026 and forecasts house price growth of around 3% by year-end, despite potential political uncertainties. Landlords should monitor these developments as they plan for the year ahead.

Implications for UK Landlords

The recent dip in house prices and slowing annual growth highlight a housing market in transition. For landlords, understanding these trends is essential for setting realistic rental prices, managing investment risk, and identifying opportunities. The easing of mortgage rates and the lowest house price to income ratio in over a decade may support tenant demand, particularly from first-time buyers who may rent before purchasing.

Regional variations suggest that landlords should consider local market conditions carefully when expanding or adjusting their portfolios. Additionally, the ongoing supply shortage underscores the importance of maintaining and improving rental properties to meet tenant expectations and maximise occupancy.

Looking Ahead: Trusted Partners Hub Launch

The Landlord Association (TLA) is launching a new Trusted Partners Hub in Q1 2026. This platform will feature verified and approved service providers selected to support landlords, tenants, and property management businesses. Legal, trades, insurance, financial, mortgage, tenant screening, and other service providers are invited to register their interest to join the hub. This initiative aims to enhance the quality and reliability of services available to landlords across the UK.

Source: www.property118.com

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